Monday, February 10, 2014

LIVE: WINTER STORM PAX

ALERTS
**WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM FRIDAY**
*THURSDAY CLASSES CANCELLED*

Storm Synopsis
Low pressure will continue to intensify as the day goes on. Winds will pick up and another round of snow will fall around 3 pm. Winds will shift around midnight as high pressure stays for the day, Friday, just before a cold front moves through. This could bring another 1-2 inches of snow on Saturday.


Thursday Afternoon: Snow and sleet dissipating. May mix with rain. High of 34 degrees. 

Thursday Night: Precipitation ending late. Winds shifting out of the NW. Low of 26 degrees.

Friday: Partly cloudy to mostly sunny. Winds out of SW. High of 40 degrees.



Obvious low pressure system over the coast of Virginia. Major snow just after 32 degree line. (Courtesy National Weather Service)
10:30 pm 
Predicted snow totals released by the National Weather Service around 7 pm Tuesday.


11:30 pm - Low doesn't even form until tomorrow at 12 pm. Storm won't hit until around 7 pm tomorrow. Forecasting is pretty tricking right now. Something to keep in mind... 
(Courtesy UCAR)
12:00 am - Final post of the night. We'll have a video posted tomorrow. It should help to explain what's going on. For now, just know that we will be under a Winter Storm Warning at 8 pm Wednesday. Also know that VA is under a State of Emergency. As for snow totals, I'm sticking with 5-8 inches. -Nick

1:00 pm - New forecast video is up. Will probably have another video later on. Keep checking in for updates. I'll be in class from 5:45-8:45 pm tonight, so James and Katie will have you covered during those hours. Be safe!


4:25 pm - A couple of changes being made to the forecast. I've raised accumulation up to 5-10 inches. Heavy snowfall starting around midnight looks promising for some quick accumulation. With warm, wet air above, these snowflakes are going to be pretty big. I've also added sleet into the forecast. Sleet won't start until late tomorrow morning though. Jimmy will have an update around 6 pm tonight. I'll be gone until 8:45 pm. -Nick Stasiak 


2:00 am - Almost 4 inches of snow has fallen already. We're hitting that stretch of heavy snow right now. I'm expecting several more inches. Crews are out doing all that they can to make the campus safe. 
Crews battling the heavy snow. (Courtesy Nick Stasiak)


3:00 am - Video report from a little less than an hour ago. Replace my "3-3 1/2 inches" with 5 inches. 

12:30 pm (Thursday) - We're looking at well above 10 inches on the Fairfax campus. Freezing rain is falling now, but look for a dry spot coming. Should be another round of snow and sleet from the south. 
(Courtesy Nick Stasiak)


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