Wednesday, July 2, 2014

Timeline of Arthur

UPDATES as of 2 PM Friday are in RED.

Arthur Timeline: July 3rd-July4th
Currently:
Norfolk: Tropical Strom Warning
Virginia Beach: Tropical Storm Warning
Nantucket, Chatham, & Provincetown, Ma: Tropical Storm Warning
Courtesy of The Weather Channel
Hurricane Arthur is currently a Category 1 hurricane and is barreling up the Mid-Atlantic coast.

Thursday: Arthur will continue to strengthen while situated over the Gulf Stream; by late Thursday night we will see Arthur become a Category 2 hurricane.

Myrtle: Arthur will be closest to the South Carolina coast Thursday, but it’s predicted that the strongest winds will remain offshore. Though it’s possible that we could still see tropical storm force winds (39-73 mph). The major threat to the area is coastal flooding and strong rip currents.

Wilmington: By Thursday afternoon, large bands of rain from Arthur will come ashore. As the day continues the surf is going to become rough and we'll expect to see coastal flooding. By Thursday night, winds will increase to tropical storm force speed.

OBX: Should be noted: A mandatory evacuation has been issued for Hatteras Island. By 5:00am July 3rd no one will be allowed back onto the island. By late Thursday night, the Outer Banks will begin to see heavier rain bands move into the vicinity. The surf will become very rough with strong rip currents and the region will experience coastal flooding, approximately a 3-5 foot increase.


Friday: Arthur is a Category 2 hurricane.

Myrtle: Arthur will begin to move out of the area by early morning.

Wilmington: Heavy rain and tropical storm winds will continue throughout the day. By the evening Arthur’s track will move into the open Atlantic Ocean and out of the region.

OBX: Heavy rain will move into the area as Arthur makes its closest approach Friday morning. The Outer Banks should prepare to experience Category 2 hurricane strength winds (96-110 mph).  It's expected that the Outer Banks will see winds reach 100 mph. Along with these winds, prepare for increasing storm surge. By nightfall, Arthur will begin to exit the Outer Banks.

Cape Cod & Nantucket: Late Friday night Arthur will make it's closest approach to the Cape Cod region. Tropical storm winds are expected to arrive to the region late friday night. A cold front over the Northeast region, combined with Arthur will increase rainfall.

Saturday: Arthur is a Category 1 hurricane.

Cape Cod & Nantucket: Arthur will begin to pull away from the region. Arthur will move over Nova Scotia and New Brunswick before Arthur begins to dissipate. 

Courtesy of The Weather Channel

Arthur Facts (according to the 2PM ET Advisory):
Category 1 Hurricane
Max Sustained Winds: 90 mph
Pressure: 976 mb
Movement: NE 25 mph
Located: 255 miles SW of Chatham, Ma

Coastal flooding will be the worst during high tide. The following are the high tide times for select locations where costal flooding will be a major threat:
  • Myrtle Beach, SC: 2:03 p.m. Thursday; 1:58 a.m. Friday
  • Wrightsville Beach, NC: 12:25 a.m. Friday
  • Cape Hatteras, NC: 12:19 a.m. and 1:03 p.m. Friday
  • Norfolk, VA: 2:20 p.m. Thursday; 2:28 a.m. and 3:06 p.m. Friday

-Katie

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